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Climate Change

Measuring the changing pulse of rivers

Science11 Aug 2017Vol 357, Issue 6351p. 552DOI: 10.1126/science.aao2441

Abstract

River flood risks are expected to rise as climate change intensifies the global hydrological cycle and more people live in floodplains (1). Changing risk may be revealed by trends in flood frequency, magnitude, or seasonality, as well as by shifts in the mechanisms that generate inundations (2). However, detection and attribution of climate signals in flood records is often hampered by brief, incomplete, or poor-quality flood data (3). Additionally, it can be difficult to disentangle the effects of changing climate, land cover, channel morphology, and human activities (2, 4). On page 588 of this issue, Blöschl et al. (5) overcome these problems through a consistent pan-European assessment of observed flood seasonality trends between 1960 and 2010. They thus provide the first evaluation of how climatic changes are influencing flood regimes at the continental scale.
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References

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C. B. Field et al., Eds., Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2012).
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Science
Volume 357 | Issue 6351
11 August 2017

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Published in print: 11 August 2017

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Louise J. Slater
Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK.
Robert L. Wilby
Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK.

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Cited by
  1. Examining the downstream geomorphic impact of a large dam under climate change, CATENA, 196, (104850), (2021).https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2020.104850
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  2. Risk variation of reservoir regulation during flood season based on bivariate statistical approach under climate change: a case study in the Chengbihe reservoir, China, Natural Hazards, 108, 2, (1585-1608), (2021).https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04746-1
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  3. Changes in Flood Regime of the Upper Yangtze River, Frontiers in Earth Science, 9, (2021).https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.650882
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  4. On future flood magnitudes and estimation uncertainty across 151 catchments in mainland China, International Journal of Climatology, 41, S1, (2020).https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6725
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  5. A Process‐Based Framework to Characterize and Classify Runoff Events: The Event Typology of Germany, Water Resources Research, 56, 5, (2020).https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026951
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  6. Role of Extreme Precipitation and Initial Hydrologic Conditions on Floods in Godavari River Basin, India, Water Resources Research, 55, 11, (9191-9210), (2019).https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025863
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  7. Climate‐Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 4, (2130-2139), (2019).https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081888
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  8. Studies on changes in extreme flood peaks resulting from land-use changes need to consider roughness variations, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64, 16, (2015-2024), (2019).https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1669039
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  9. The Relative Importance of Different Flood‐Generating Mechanisms Across Europe, Water Resources Research, (2019).https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR024841
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  10. Anthropogenic stresses on the world’s big rivers, Nature Geoscience, 12, 1, (7-21), (2018).https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0262-x
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