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A short-term trend reversed

Theory and empirical data both support the paradigm that C4 plant species (in which the first product of carbon fixation is a four-carbon molecule) benefit less from rising carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations than C3 species (in which the first product is a three-carbon molecule). This is because their different photosynthetic physiologies respond differently to atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Reich et al. document a reversal of this pattern in a 20-year CO2 enrichment experiment using grassland plots with each type of plant (see the Perspective by Hovenden and Newton). Over the first 12 years, biomass increased with elevated CO2 in C3 plots but not C4 plots, as expected. But over the next 8 years, the pattern reversed: Biomass increased in C4 plots but not C3 plots. Thus, even the best-supported short-term drivers of plant response to global change might not predict long-term results.
Science, this issue p. 317; see also p. 263

Abstract

Theory predicts and evidence shows that plant species that use the C4 photosynthetic pathway (C4 species) are less responsive to elevated carbon dioxide (eCO2) than species that use only the C3 pathway (C3 species). We document a reversal from this expected C3-C4 contrast. Over the first 12 years of a 20-year free-air CO2 enrichment experiment with 88 C3 or C4 grassland plots, we found that biomass was markedly enhanced at eCO2 relative to ambient CO2 in C3 but not C4 plots, as expected. During the subsequent 8 years, the pattern reversed: Biomass was markedly enhanced at eCO2 relative to ambient CO2 in C4 but not C3 plots. Soil net nitrogen mineralization rates, an index of soil nitrogen supply, exhibited a similar shift: eCO2 first enhanced but later depressed rates in C3 plots, with the opposite true in C4 plots, partially explaining the reversal of the eCO2 biomass response. These findings challenge the current C3-C4 eCO2 paradigm and show that even the best-supported short-term drivers of plant response to global change might not predict long-term results.
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Supplementary Material

Summary

Materials and Methods
Figs. S1 to S5
Table S1
References (31, 32)

Resources

File (aas9313_reich_sm.pdf)

References and Notes

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Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Science
Volume 360 | Issue 6386
20 April 2018

Submission history

Received: 9 January 2018
Accepted: 21 March 2018
Published in print: 20 April 2018

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Acknowledgments

We thank K. Worm, D. Bahauddin, and numerous summer interns for assistance with experimental operation and data collection and management. Funding: Supported by NSF Long-Term Ecological Research grants DEB-0620652 and DEB-1234162, Long-Term Research in Environmental Biology grant DEB-1242531, and Ecosystem Sciences grant DEB-1120064 and by U.S. Department of Energy Programs for Ecosystem Research grant DE-FG02-96ER62291. Author contributions: P.B.R. designed the study and supervised the overall experiment and measurements; P.B.R. analyzed the data with assistance from S.E.H., T.D.L., and M.A.P.; T.D.L. and M.A.P. collected the photosynthetic data; P.B.R. wrote the first draft; and all authors jointly revised the manuscript. Competing interests: None. Data and materials availability: The data reported in this paper are available at the Environmental Data Initiative (EDI) (net nitrogen mineralization, DOI 10.6073/pasta/2ac4677a929290462877fd0df375ffa4; net nitrogen mineralization, DOI 10.6073/pasta/2ac4677a929290462877fd0df375ffa4; aboveground biomass, DOI 10.6073/pasta/8524be9f00b40a9e71b73a8ba2dc9ed0; belowground biomass, DOI 10.6073/pasta/c00662959002e588597bd77e0c7dbdbb). All other data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are present in the paper or the supplementary materials.

Authors

Affiliations

Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA.
Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW 2753, Australia.
Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA.
Department of Biology, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire, WI 54701, USA.
Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA.

Funding Information

U.S. Department of Energy: DE-FG02-96ER62291

Notes

*Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]

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