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Fertility Policy in China: Future Options

Science6 Mar 1987Vol 235, Issue 4793pp. 1167-1172DOI: 10.1126/science.3823877

Abstract

A wide range of social, economic, and demographic criteria are used to evaluate China's present one-child policy and five alternative fertility policies that might guide China's population control efforts until the end of the century when the one-child policy is scheduled to be abandoned. These criteria include the policies' macrodemographic impact on total population size and population aging; their microdemographic effects on the family's ability to support the elderly, its economic capabilities, and the position of women; and their cultural acceptability to the majority Han Chinese population. The results suggest that the least desirable strategy is to retain the present policy; all the two-child alternatives perform better than the current one-child policy in achieving the policy goals considered.

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Published In

Science
Volume 235 | Issue 4793
6 March 1987

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Published in print: 6 March 1987

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Susan Greenhalgh
Center for Policy Studies, The Population Council, 1 Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017.
John Bongaarts
Center for Policy Studies, The Population Council, 1 Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017.

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Cited by
  1. China's Population Program, Science, 238, 4830, (1025-1026), (1987)./doi/10.1126/science.238.4830.1025-c
    Abstract
  2. China's Population Program, Science, 238, 4830, (1025-1026), (1987)./doi/10.1126/science.238.4830.1025.c
    Abstract
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