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Movers and Shakers

We tend to view earthquakes as unpredictable phenomena caused by naturally shifting stresses in Earth's crust. In reality, however, a range of human activity can also induce earthquakes. Ellsworth (p. 10.1126/science.1225942) reviews the current understanding of the causes and mechanics of earthquakes caused by human activity and the means to decrease their associated risk. Notable examples include injection of wastewater into deep formations and emerging technologies related to oil and gas recovery, including hydraulic fracturing. In addition to directly causing increased local seismic activity, activities such as deep fluid injection may have other ramifications related to earthquake occurrence. Van der Elst et al. (p. 164; see the news story by Kerr) demonstrate that in the midwestern United States, some areas with increased human-induced seismicity are also more prone to further earthquakes triggered by the seismic waves from large, remote earthquakes. Improved seismic monitoring and injection data near deep disposal sites will help to identify regions prone to remote triggering and, more broadly, suggest times when activities should, at least temporarily, be put on hold.

Abstract

A recent dramatic increase in seismicity in the midwestern United States may be related to increases in deep wastewater injection. Here, we demonstrate that areas with suspected anthropogenic earthquakes are also more susceptible to earthquake-triggering from natural transient stresses generated by the seismic waves of large remote earthquakes. Enhanced triggering susceptibility suggests the presence of critically loaded faults and potentially high fluid pressures. Sensitivity to remote triggering is most clearly seen in sites with a long delay between the start of injection and the onset of seismicity and in regions that went on to host moderate magnitude earthquakes within 6 to 20 months. Triggering in induced seismic zones could therefore be an indicator that fluid injection has brought the fault system to a critical state.
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Supplementary Material

Summary

Materials and Methods
Supplementary Text
Figs. S1 to S5
Tables S1 to S5
References (2743)
Database S1

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File (1238948s1.xls)
File (van.der.elst-sm.pdf)

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Science
Volume 341 | Issue 6142
12 July 2013

Submission history

Received: 9 April 2013
Accepted: 23 May 2013
Published in print: 12 July 2013

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Acknowledgments

This paper benefitted from discussions with E. Brodsky and W.-Y. Kim. Injection data for Cogdell Oilfield was provided by C. Frohlich. The Oklahoma Corporation Commission, the Texas Railroad Commission, and the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission supplied well databases. Earthquake locations were provided by ANSS. Seismic waveforms are from the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology Data Management Center. N.J.v.d.E. was supported by U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) grant EAR-1144503. H.M.S. and G.A.A. were partially supported by U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) grant G13AP00024. K.M.K. received support from USGS NEHRP grant G13AP00025. This project made use of EarthScope’s Transportable Array, a facility funded by NSF. The enhanced seismicity catalogs are available as supplementary materials on Science Online.

Authors

Affiliations

Nicholas J. van der Elst* [email protected]
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Post Office Box 1000, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.
Heather M. Savage
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Post Office Box 1000, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.
Katie M. Keranen
ConocoPhillips School of Geology and Geophysics, University of Oklahoma, 100 East Boyd Street, Norman, OK 73069, USA.
Present address: Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, 410 Thurston Avenue, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA.
Geoffrey A. Abers
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Post Office Box 1000, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.

Notes

*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

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