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Abstract

Worm et al. (Research Articles, 3 November 2006, p. 787) used a power relation to predict a global collapse of fisheries by the year 2048. However, a linear regression of the data for the past 40 years yields an excellent fit, with a predicted date of collapse of 2114. Thus, long-term projections of fisheries collapse are highly dependent on the specific statistical model used.
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References and Notes

1
B. Worm et al., Science314, 787 (2006).

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Published In

Science
Volume 316 | Issue 5829
1 June 2007

Submission history

Received: 17 November 2006
Accepted: 28 March 2007
Published in print: 1 June 2007

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John Jaenike
Department of Biology, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627–0211, USA.

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