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Abstract

Sustainable development requires the reconciliation of demands for biodiversity conservation and increased agricultural production. Assessing the impact of novel farming practices on biodiversity and ecosystem services is fundamental to this process. Using farmland birds as a model system, we present a generic risk assessment framework that accurately predicts each species' current conservation status and population growth rate associated with past changes in agriculture. We demonstrate its value by assessing the potential impact on biodiversity of two controversial land uses, genetically modified herbicide-tolerant crops and agri-environment schemes. This framework can be used to guide policy and land management decisions and to assess progress toward sustainability targets.
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Published In

Science
Volume 315 | Issue 5810
19 January 2007

Submission history

Received: 23 October 2006
Accepted: 21 November 2006
Published in print: 19 January 2007

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Authors

Affiliations

S. J. Butler*
Centre for Agri-Environment Research, School of Agriculture, Policy, and Development, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK.
J. A. Vickery
British Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Nunnery Place, Thetford, Norfolk IP24 2PU, UK.
K. Norris
Centre for Agri-Environment Research, School of Agriculture, Policy, and Development, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6AR, UK.

Notes

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: [email protected]

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