INTRODUCTION
Deltas are highly dynamic, often fan-shaped depositional systems that form when a river enters a basin of standing water (for example, ocean or lake). They are extremely resource-rich landscapes and host more than half a billion people (
1,
2). Many deltas are low-lying areas that are vulnerable to drowning and destruction by relative sea-level rise, oceanic storms, and reduction in upstream sediment supply owing to anthropogenic interference (
1–
8). Because deltas are net depositional landscapes, they contribute to the stratigraphic record and hold important information pertaining to past environments, as well as water and habitability on Earth and Mars (
8–
11). We need mechanistic theories of delta size for the sustainable management of these important landforms and for decoding their stratigraphic record.
Deltas grow at the largest scale through repeated cycles of delta lobe construction via deposition, followed by lobe abandonment by river avulsion—an abrupt shift in the river course (
12–
14). Lobe scale avulsions often occur regularly and around a persistent spatial node, leading to the characteristic delta-shaped planform morphology, and thus ultimately set the fundamental length scale of deltas [for example, (
14)]. Whereas avulsion node locations on some steep fan deltas and alluvial fans are topographically controlled (for example, because of a change in confinement or bed slope at a canyon-fan transition) (
12,
15–
17), avulsions on low-gradient rivers occur around a persistent spatial node but without any apparent change in bed slope or confinement (
15). Instead, river avulsions on many low-gradient deltas occur at a characteristic distance upstream of the shoreline, known as the avulsion length (
LA), which scales to first order with the so-called backwater length of the alluvial river (
14,
15,
18,
19), although scatter of at least a factor of 2 is evident (
Fig. 1;
Lb). The backwater length of an alluvial river is a scale parameter for the length over which nonuniform (gradually varied) flow can exist as a result of disequilibrium between the river depth far upstream (normal-flow depth) and the river depth at the shoreline (fig. S1), which is forced in part through the boundary condition of sea level (
20). The backwater length can be approximated roughly as the ratio of the characteristic flow depth (
hc) and the reach riverbed slope (
11) (
S) (that is,
Lb = hc/
S) and can extend hundreds of kilometers upstream of the shoreline for large, low-sloping rivers [for example, (
14,
18,
20,
21)].
Recently, using a quasi–two-dimensional (2D) numerical model, Chatanantavet
et al. (
18) proposed that the avulsion location on river deltas scales with the backwater length because of a peak in in-channel sedimentation within the backwater zone that develops as a result of Froude-subcritical flows and floods of variable discharge, conditions that typify large, low-sloping deltaic rivers. In their simulations, small floods resulted in flow deceleration (fig. S1) and a downstream migrating wave of deposition that initiated near the upstream extent of the backwater reach. Large floods produced spatially accelerating flow in the backwater zone (fig. S1) and an upstream migrating wave of riverbed erosion that initiated near the river mouth. The net effect of multiple cycles of floods was persistent nonuniform flows and rates of in-channel sedimentation that peaked within the backwater zone. They also showed that modeled rivers under a constant flood discharge—a common assumption in other delta models and experiments (
22–
29)—had spatially uniform flow velocities and lacked a peak in in-channel sedimentation rates. Flume experiments confirm that sedimentation during constant discharge conditions tends to preferentially occur in zones of spatial flow deceleration, which reduces water depths, increases flow velocities, and eventually drives the river to a state of uniform flow velocities and uniform sedimentation patterns (
30). These experiments also produced persistent nonuniform flow and persistent riverbed adjustment under conditions of multiple floods and subcritical flows (
30); however, they did not produce avulsions or a delta built by successive cycles of lobe building and abandonment.
An important implication of this emerging theory for the scaling relationship between backwater length and delta lobe size is that avulsion location may be tied to backwater hydrodynamics only under cases of variable discharge floods that induce persistent bed adjustment (
Fig. 1F). Thus, low-gradient deltas with backwater-controlled avulsions should maintain a constant lobe size during shoreline progradation because the backwater length is tied to the shoreline. In contrast, under constant discharge conditions, backwater hydrodynamics do not significantly influence deposition patterns, and avulsion locations may be topographically controlled, similar to alluvial fans or fan deltas, resulting in an avulsion length that can grow indefinitely (
Fig. 1F). Testing this hypothesis in nature is difficult given that the time scale for avulsions on most deltas is hundreds to thousands of years (
31). Furthermore, most previous deltaic experiments have been performed under constant discharge conditions (
22–
26) or supercritical flows that preclude backwater hydrodynamics (
32). To fill this knowledge gap, we performed scaled physical experiments to grow a delta and observe its dynamics under conditions of subcritical flow and multiple floods. Similar to the work by Chatanantavet
et al. (
18), we compare these results to a control experiment that also had subcritical flow but, in this case, under constant discharge conditions.
RESULTS
The experimental arrangement consisted of a 7-cm-wide, 7-m-long alluvial river, which drained into an ocean basin (5 m × 3 m), building its own delta (
Fig. 2). Experiments were conducted under subcritical flow conditions (Froude number: Fr < 1) allowing for backwater hydrodynamics, constant sea level, and used crushed walnut shells (ρ
s = 1300 kg/m
3) of uniform grain size (
D = 0.7 mm) transported in bed load and intermittent suspension (
Table 1; Materials and Methods). Previous experiments required highly cohesive sediment to produce single-thread channels and morphodynamic adjustment through backfilling and backwater-influenced avulsions (
22). Here, we use sediment that lacks significant cohesion and, instead, focus on low Froude numbers and variable discharge floods, both intrinsic to any lowland river system, as drivers for transient morphodynamics.
Natural deltas can be affected by a wide range of processes that, by design, are not included in our experiments, including sea-level rise, subsidence, tides, waves, oceanic storms, density gradients, strongly cohesive sediment, and vegetation [for example, (
14,
22,
33–
35)]. These processes are neglected because many natural deltas across a wide range of environments and tectonic settings appear to scale to first order with only the backwater length of the feeder river (
Fig. 1), a relationship that has yet to be demonstrated experimentally. Consequently, our experiments were designed to isolate the effects of floods and backwater hydrodynamics on delta lobe size in the simplest way possible.
We conducted two experiments. In the first experiment (experiment A), we held the water and sediment discharge to be constant, scaled approximately as an annual bankfull flood (Materials and Methods). Avulsions in this experiment are expected to be topographically controlled by the change in confinement between the fixed-width section of our river channel and the ocean basin (
x = 0.4 in fig. S2), and therefore, the avulsion length is expected to grow in time (
Fig. 1F). In the second experiment (experiment B), we alternated between 40-min duration low flows and 15-min high flows, scaled roughly as a bankfull flood, and a larger 30-year recurrence interval flood (Materials and Methods), 160 times under constant sea level and subcritical flow conditions (Materials and Methods; fig. S3). Avulsions in this experiment are expected to scale with the backwater length (
Fig. 1F). In experiment B, the sediment supply was adjusted commensurate with the water discharge for the high- and low-flow flood events to maintain a constant self-formed bed slope in the upstream normal-flow reach (Materials and Methods). This ensured that the patterns of erosion and deposition in the experiment were due to backwater effects rather than imbalances in the imposed sediment and water discharges (Materials and Methods). Further, the duration of high and low flows in experiment B was designed to be short enough such that the bed within the backwater zone was in a state of transient adjustment due to in-channel sedimentation or erosion from previous flood event. This was argued previously to be necessary to produce backwater-controlled avulsions (
18). Overhead images of deltaic evolution were collected every minute and used to identify the location of avulsions, the shoreline, and the distance between the two (that is,
LA) (
Fig. 3 and fig. S4; Materials and Methods). Avulsions were defined as abrupt and permanent changes in the course of the river that captured the majority of water flow and resulted in the construction of a new sediment lobe. Avulsions were accompanied by abrupt abandonment of the old channel in both experiments; however, gradual abandonment occurred in experiment B during some avulsion cycles. Smaller channel breaches that did not satisfy these criteria were classified as crevasse splays [for example, (
12)]. Both experiments produced deltas that grew through several tens of cycles of avulsion and lobe construction (
Table 1).
Results show that the avulsions in experiment A were tied to the tank boundary (
Fig. 4A, fig. S5, and movie S1) and the delta grew in time because of shoreline progradation, similar to previous experiments that lacked persistent backwater hydrodynamics [for example, (
36)]. Thus, subcritical flow alone is not sufficient to produce avulsions that scale with the backwater length. This is in contrast to experiment B, where avulsions initially occurred at the tank boundary; however, as the delta grew bigger, the avulsion sites translated seaward with shoreline progradation (
Fig. 4B and movie S2). Multiple floods in experiment B also produced a delta that was significantly more lobate in planform (
Fig. 4).
Figure 5 shows the evolution of the ratio of the avulsion length (
LA) to the backwater length (
Lb) as a function of dimensionless time. Owing to different average sediment fluxes in the two experiments (
Table 1), we normalized the experimental run time by the time it would take to create a radially symmetric, semicircular delta of size 0.5
Lb for comparison (Materials and Methods). Results demonstrate that in experiment B, the avulsion sites were tied to the tank boundary until the delta reached a size of ~0.5
Lb (dimensionless time of 1 in
Fig. 5), beyond which the avulsion sites translated seaward in step with shoreline progradation, thus maintaining deltaic lobes of constant size (
Figs. 4B and
5). Thus, the combination of subcritical flow and multiple floods in experiment B produced avulsions that scaled with the backwater length.
Why do avulsions preferentially occur at a location that maintains a consistent distance upstream of the shoreline and scales with the backwater length? The process of river avulsion has two fundamental requirements. First, focused in-channel aggradation at a particular location, which is referred to as the process of avulsion “setup,” makes the river poised for an avulsion (
12,
37). The avulsion “trigger” is typically an event whereby water flow leaves the channel and/or where erosion induces levee breach during floods (
38–
40). Our experiments show that persistent backwater and drawdown hydrodynamics significantly affect the process of avulsion setup and that this is controlling avulsion location in our experiments, as described below.
Using measurements of bed topography during the experiments (Materials and Methods), we tracked the in-channel sedimentation that occurred along the centerline of the river during each flood event (that is, each low-flow and high-flow event, where the duration of each flow is referred to as an “event”) and also during a whole avulsion cycle (that is, from when a new channel was formed until it avulsed to a new location). During our low-flow events, we observed deceleration of the flow in the backwater zone (
Fig. 6B), which produced deposition in the middle of the backwater zone (
Fig. 6C). In contrast, during our high-flow events, the water surface slope steepened (
Fig. 6A), and flow accelerated within 0.3
Lb of the shoreline, which produced erosion. On average, a peak in deposition from low flows occurred at ~0.35
Lb from the shoreline (
Fig. 6C), a peak in erosion from high flows occurred at ~0.25
Lb from the shoreline, and, together, all events summed to produce enhanced in-channel sedimentation at ~0.40
Lb from the shoreline (
Fig. 6C), which is coincident with the eventual avulsion that occurred at ~0.45
Lb (
Fig. 5). Ultimately, backwater hydrodynamics and deposition occurred during low flow as a result of the overdeepened channel from the preceding high flow, and erosion occurred during high flow because of deposition and channel shallowing from the previous low flow. Erosion and deposition from successive events did not balance because deposition was enhanced in the upstream part of the backwater zone, and erosion in the downstream part. Thus, when summed over multiple flow events during an avulsion cycle, successive alternation of low- and high-flow events produced a pattern of in-channel sedimentation that peaked within the middle of the backwater zone, similar to recent theory (
18). In contrast, for the constant discharge case within the backwater zone, we observed no spatial changes in water surface slope, no systematic flow acceleration or deceleration (fig. S6), and, consequently, an avulsion node that remained tied to the tank boundary and did not scale with the backwater length (
Figs. 4A and
5).
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
Our work provides a mechanistic underpinning of the observed correlation between avulsion length and backwater length on lowland river deltas (
14,
15,
18,
19). Our results highlight the legacy of the transient nature of sediment erosion caused during flood events in determining the fundamental length scale of deltas. Unlike rivers upstream of the backwater zone, which can be characterized by a single characteristic flood discharge that is responsible for the most geomorphic work (
41,
42), the fundamental scale of deltas emerges only under conditions of perpetual transient morphodynamic adjustment. Subcritical flows and multiple floods of variable discharge allow nonuniform flow and nonuniform patterns of in-channel sedimentation to persist in coastal rivers, which ultimately leads to a preferred avulsion location within the backwater zone. In contrast, constant discharge flows, even under subcritical flow, tend toward uniform-flow conditions with no morphodynamic signature of backwater hydrodynamics. Thus, multiple floods and Froude-subcritical flows are the two necessary conditions to produce avulsions that scale with the backwater length in our experiments.
In addition to river floods, persistent bed adjustment in natural deltas may occur by other mechanisms, including rapid lobe progradation, mouth bar deposition (
22), or relative sea-level rise, which might produce avulsions that scale differently than
LA ~ 0.5
Lb [for example, (
18)]. In addition to backwater hydrodynamics, waves, tides, vegetation, and significant sediment cohesion play important roles in delta evolution [for example, (
34,
35)]. These processes may help to explain some of the variability in the ratio of
LA/
Lb as observed in natural deltas (
Fig. 1). Independent of backwater hydrodynamics, avulsions can also be driven by topographic controls, as on alluvial fans and fan deltas (and in our experiment A), by lateral gradients in subsidence rates [for example, (
33)], and can occur in river channels far upstream of deltas [for example, (
12,
31)], making it important to distinguish backwater-controlled avulsions from other mechanisms (
15).
Because river avulsions occur infrequently in natural systems, field observations of avulsion site translation are rare. However, the Huanghe, China, which before major engineering (1936) avulsed on an unprecedented decadal time scale, is an important example of backwater-controlled avulsion sites that translated seaward in step with shoreline progradation (
15). In our experiments, as on the Huanghe, the seaward translation of the avulsion sites leaves behind part of the deltaic plain, which no longer receives sediment and water through major river avulsions. In our experiment, these parts of the deltaic plain were nourished with sediment through persistent levee-breaching crevasse splays and overbank deposition during high-flow events (
Fig. 3). For natural deltas, minor avulsions, distributary networks, cohesive washload sediment, and vegetation [for example, (
12,
43)] may also help promote aggradation on the relict deltaic plain.
Our experiments were conducted under no externally imposed subsidence or sea-level rise, such that seaward shoreline migration was due to delta deposition alone. In natural deltas, subsidence, sea-level rise, and reduced sediment supply due to bank stabilization and dams can all act to stall or reverse the direction of shoreline migration, a problem on many deltas worldwide (
1). Our experimental results suggest that the avulsion node should shift inland on drowning deltas with retreating shorelines, increasing the hazard of avulsions to upstream communities. In addition to shoreline migration, numerical models indicate that the avulsion node location may move further inland, relative to the backwater length (for example,
LA = 1 to 2
Lb) under cases of significant relative sea-level rise (
18), exacerbating the problem. The backwater length scaling of delta lobe size provides a quantitative expectation for the most likely location of future avulsions, which can be used in management strategies for engineered diversions on deltas to mitigate land loss (
44).
These results also bolster the use of backwater length as a paleohydraulic reconstruction tool (
9), where delta lobe size, flow depth, and bed slope are related, that is,
LA ~
Lb = hc/
S, and progressive avulsion node translation provides a tool for differentiating alluvial fan deposits from deltaic deposits, in which the latter have implications for long-lived lakes and oceans on other planetary bodies such as Mars and Titan. Although the backwater length scale sets the limiting size of deltaic lobes (
Fig. 5), this size may not always be attained. For example, in cases of high subsidence rates and when the feeder river channel is bounded by a canyon, the deltaic lobes may never become large enough to have backwater-controlled avulsions, akin to avulsions observed during the early phase of deltaic growth in our experiment B (
Fig. 5).
On long geologic time scales, mass balance between the input sediment supply and the accommodation created by subsidence and relative sea-level rise likely dictate the scale over which delta deposits can be preserved in the stratigraphic record (
26,
45,
46), that is,
Lmass ~
qs/σ, where
Lmass is a “mass-balance” length scale,
qs is the input fluvial sediment flux per unit width, and σ is the rate of subsidence and relative sea-level rise. In the limiting case of
Lmass >>
Lb, the backwater-controlled avulsion node is likely to be well within the zone of the subsidence, indicating that the dynamics of deltaic evolution and the coastal plain upstream of the avulsion node may be preserved in the sedimentary record. In contrast, if
Lmass <<
Lb, then the backwater-controlled avulsion node of the delta is likely to be upstream of the zone of the subsidence, indicating that only the portion of the delta within the subsidence zone may be preserved in the sedimentary record. Our experimental results suggest that the stratigraphic architecture of deltaic deposits is likely composed of 3D amalgamated lobes of similar scale (
47), set by a spatially shifting avulsion node as the delta progrades basinward (
15). This is in contrast to the Gilbert-type models that define distinct topset and foreset stratigraphy in a largely 2D framework [for example, (
48,
49)]. Ultimately, the backwater length, which sets the dominant length scale of river deltas, is the fundamental building block of fluvio-deltaic stratigraphy, with implications that span reservoir geology to paleoenvironmental reconstruction of ancient Earth and Mars.